Rampapalooza As Cyprus-Troika Reach Deal (Updates)
UPDATE: It appears the ‘deal’ to default/restructure the banks has been designed to bypass the need for parliamentary votes, “since it is theoretically not a tax.”
While we have little color on what kind of carnage the President of Cyprus had to accept to his fellow countrymen, the news is that :
*CYPRUS, TROIKA REACH AGREEMENT IN PRINCIPLE, EU OFFICIAL SAYS
The terms, unsurprisingly what zee Germans wanted, are i) Laiki to be wound down; ii) Bank of Cyprus to survive but with deposit haircuts, and iii) deal would see secured deposits in Laiki moved to Bank of Cyprus. In other words, a deal far wors then the original on proposed by the Eurogroup last week – when the banks still existed.
[EDITOR’S NOTE: Actually the deposit over EUR 100 000 at Bank of Cyprus will be taxed at 40%. The 2nd largest bank Laiki will be closed; its deposits of less than EUR 100 000 will be transferred to Bank of Cyprus and “will be saved”. Its deposits over EUR 100 000 will be taken by Government, EUROGROUP, ECB and IMF, to repay the financial aid of EUROGROUP. That’s a Hold Up in plain sight !
The key appears to be the ‘saving’ of the insured depositors (crucial to avoid a pan-European bank run) and the crushing of the ‘whale’ depositors. S&P 500 futures and EUR are surging, Gold is dropping modestly. We await final confirmation of the final terms of the final deal once the Cypriot people wake up (and don’t forget the ECB ‘standard of living’ rules). The Cypriot Parliament still has to vote for this – and not one of them voted for it last week.